Oz, Walker, Masters trail Fetterman, Warnock, Kelly
The election likely to determine control of the Senate appears tight in the final days before the November midterm elections, according to a Poll by the New York Times and Siena College of four key rockets released on Monday.
The survey shows that Democrats hold a slim lead over their Republican opponents in Senate races in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Georgia, while the two contestants in Nevada are locked in a dead heat. Former President Donald Trump he endorsed Republican candidates in all four races.
Democrats hope to keep at least their Senate majority. The chamber is currently split 50-50 between the parties, with Vice President Kamala Harris holding the casting vote.
Republicans need to gain just one seat to take control. Flipping any of the Democratic-held seats in Arizona, Georgia or Nevada – or defending the GOP-held Pennsylvania – pushed the Republicans in their attempt to win the majority of the Senate.
A Republican-controlled Senate could sink President Joe Biden’s hopes of passing major legislation in the final two years of his first term. Republicans are favored to win control of the House.
The most promising result for Democrats in the new poll came in Arizona, where respondents gave Senator Mark Kelly an advantage of 6 percentage points, 51% to 45%, over Republican Blake Masters. That result, taken from 604 likely voters between Oct. 24 and Oct. 26, fell outside the poll’s margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
In Pennsylvania, Democratic Lt. Gov. John Fetterman held a similar-sized lead over Dr. Mehmet Oz, 49% to 44%. But the survey of 620 likely voters in Pennsylvania was conducted from Oct. 24 to Oct. 26 — well ahead of the two candidates. met for a debate in which Fetterman, recovering from a life-threatening stroke, he struggled to articulate his thoughts.
The overall result of the survey showed that a plurality of voters, 48% to 35%, think that Fetterman is healthy enough to perform the duties of a senator of the United States. But among those surveyed after the debate, a plurality said they thought he wasn’t healthy enough for the job. The Pennsylvania survey has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
Georgia, the key to the battlefield BidenThe 2020 victory over Trump and the Democrats” resumption of the Senatenow hosts a competitive race between Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker.
The latest poll shows Warnock leading Walker by just 3 percentage points, 49% to 46%, a smaller gap than the survey’s margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.
In Nevada, meanwhile, incumbent senator Catherine Cortez Masto is trying to fend off a challenge from Republican political scion and former state attorney general Adam Laxalt. The Times / Siena poll shows the two candidates tied at 47% in the race, which is considered one of the GOP’s best chances to flip a blue seat.
Pollsters polled 885 likely voters in Nevada between Oct. 19 and Oct. 24; the results carry a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.
The midterm elections, which are seen as a referendum on the current political leadership, tend to disfavor the party in control of the White House. The president’s party has lost seats in Congress in every cycle since 2002.
Polls consistently show inflation and crime ranking near the top of voters’ lists of concerns. Republican candidates across the board have accused their Democratic rivals of being soft on crime. They also blamed high inflation, a global phenomenon in the last two years, on the policies of Biden and the Democrats.
The president’s low approval rating, while slightly improved from past months, is seen as a potential drag for Democratic candidates fighting for survival in competitive swing state races. The president’s unpopularity is more pronounced in the four states surveyed in the latest Times/Siena poll, as his ratings are at or below the national average, the newspaper said.
However, Biden, a Pennsylvania native who beat Trump in 2020, has been campaigning in the Keystone State for Fetterman in recent days. Harris, first lady Jill Biden and former President Barack Obama also hit the final sprint to the November 8 election to support the Democrats.
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