Satellite, rocket stage nearly collides in possible ‘worst case scenario’

Satellite, rocket stage nearly collides in possible ‘worst case scenario’

Two large pieces of space debris — an old missile body and a military satellite — nearly collided on Friday.

LeoLabs, a private company that works to track satellites and low-Earth objects, tweeted that if the objects hit each other, the collision would have resulted in thousands of fragments that would have “lasted for decades.”

“Too close for comfort… Two large defunct objects in #LEO narrowly missed each other this morning – an SL-8 rocket body (16511) and Cosmos 2361 (25590) passed each other at an altitude of 984 km,” it said company.

The company said its radar tracking data helped calculate a miss distance of just 20 feet (6 meters), with a small margin of error.

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A triangular piece of orbital debris (a piece of thermal insulation tile) high above planet Earth, as seen from the Space Shuttle Columbia during mission STS-61-C, January 12-18, 1986.

A triangular piece of orbital debris (a piece of thermal insulation tile) high above planet Earth, as seen from the Space Shuttle Columbia during mission STS-61-C, January 12-18, 1986.
((Photo by Space Frontiers/Archive Photos/Hulton Archive/Getty Images))

The conjunction took place in what LeoLabs called a “bad neighborhood.”

“This region has significant potential for debris generation in #LEO due to a mix of fracture events and abandoned decayed objects,” it tweeted, noting that the region is host to about 160 SL-8 missile bodies deployed more than two decades ago.

GRAPH - (CIRCA 1989): This National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) handout image shows a graphical representation of space debris in low Earth orbit.

GRAPH – (CIRCA 1989): This National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) handout image shows a graphical representation of space debris in low Earth orbit.
((Photo by NASA/Getty Images))

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Between June and September last year, the company emphasized that there were 1,400 high-PC conjunctions in the rocket bodies alone.

In this handout photo released by Roscosmos State Space Corporation, a view of the International Space Station taken on March 30, 2022, by the crew of Russia's Soyuz MS-19 spacecraft after undocking from the station.

In this handout photo released by Roscosmos State Space Corporation, a view of the International Space Station taken on March 30, 2022, by the crew of Russia’s Soyuz MS-19 spacecraft after undocking from the station.
((Roscosmos State Space Corporation via AP, file))

“Why is this a big deal? We’ve identified this kind of collision — between two massive decayed objects — as a ‘worst case scenario’ because it’s largely out of our control and likely to result in a ripple effect of dangerous collisions,” explained LeoLabs.

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The company said it was crucial to focus on both avoid collisions and limit debris and recovery to combat space debris.

The International Space Station has had to maneuver to avoid such debris, and a small object that may be a piece of orbital debris is believed to be responsible for a leak aboard a Soyuz spacecraft currently docked at the station.



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